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Bavaria January CPI +2.1% vs +1.7% y/y prior
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The other German state releases around the same time as per the following:Hesse CPI +% vs +2.2% y/y priorNorth Rhine Westphalia CPI +2.0% vs +1.9% y/y priorSaxony CPI +2.1% vs +1.9% y/y priorBaden Wuerttemberg CPI +2.1% vs +1.9% y/y priorThe annual figures here are all higher than seen in December, which fits with estimates for the national reading later.
German headline annual inflation is expected to rise to 2.0% to start the year, up from 1.8% previously.
Based on the state figures, we should expect that estimate to come in around 2.0% to 2.1% at the balance.
But as always is the case, the key statistic to watch will be the core annual inflation estimate once again.
Overall, that was seen at 2.8% in 2025 and the more stubborn price pressures in Europe's largest economy here is still posing some trouble for the ECB.