Ukraine's energy deficit is expected to increase to 6% this year, which will slow GDP growth by 0.4%. Pyshnyy noted that due to intensified Russian attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure, the electricity deficit rose to 7% in the fourth quarter of 2025. As a result, the NBU was forced to revise its forecasts for the energy deficit for the current year as well. Compared with the previous (October 2025) macroeconomic forecast, the projected deficit was increased from 3% to 6%. Lepushynskyi, in turn, explained that under the baseline scenario, the probability of which exceeds 50%, it is precisely the energy deficit that will slow economic growth this year by about 0.4%.