Before their recent match against Swindon Town, I had attended 10 Notts County games. However, on my way home, I couldn’t help but wonder whether my presence had previously hindered Notts County’s home form. Notts County’s abysmal record when I am in attendance is surely no longer my fault. Generalising to include the average League Two home win record over that time frame paints my record in a better light. Using a home win probability of 41.7% gives a probability of at most one win in 11 of 2.35%.