How Anas Sarwar could end up as First Minister with fewer than 35 Scottish Labour MSPsDaily Record Political Editor Paul Hutcheon says there are only two realistic election outcomes for Holyrood after May. ‌Labour and Reform UK look set to do battle for second place, with the others fighting for the scraps. Scottish Labour leader Anas Sarwar used to believe the magic number for victory in May was securing 48 MSPs - over double their 2021 tally. With the Starmer Government continuing to struggle, Scottish Labour returning 25 MSPs, far less 33, seems like a stretch. First Minister Sarwar would be at the mercy of the political Right for legislation, Budgets and everyday votes.