Farage's Reform UK will find winning Gorton and Denton by-election 'tough nut to crack,' new analysis

But Prof Ford concluded: “The upshort of all of this is we have a by-election where four different parties have a credible shot at victory, with Reform on the right aiming for a second by-election gain of the Parliament, while three parties on the left all aiming to convince voters they are the strongest anti-Reform option available.”