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PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9521 – Reuters estimate
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The People’s Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fixing that remains one of the most closely watched signals in Asian foreign exchange markets.
China operates a managed floating exchange rate system, under which the renminbi (yuan) is allowed to trade within a prescribed band around a central reference rate, or midpoint, set each trading day by the PBOC.
The current trading band permits the currency to move plus or minus 2% from the official midpoint during onshore trading hours.
As a result, the daily fixing is often interpreted as a policy signal rather than just a technical reference point.
In periods of heightened global volatility, such as shifts in US rate expectations, trade tensions or capital flow pressures, the fixing takes on added significance.