Though Mescal’s absence was a surprise, the exclusion of “It Was Just An Accident” from best picture felt much more significant. Since 2020, four of the five Palme winners have gone on to receive best picture nominations and, since 2016, films that both won the Palme and were nominated at the Globes are three-for-three for Best Picture nominations. However, “It Was Just An Accident” may just have been too barren or politically harsh to generate the widespread appeal necessary for a best picture push. Unsurprisingly, “Wicked: For Good” also did not receive a best picture nomination. For now, I’m just left to consider who will take best picture home.